Pakistan is second largest Muslim country of the world followed by Indonesia and Muslim population is almost equal to India. It is little ahead of India in terms of Muslim population. Pakistan General elections are scheduled in July month and Pakistani Awam is waiting for these elections. Many Pakistan election opinion polls 2018 are already announced by reputed news survey agencies and pollster. Pakistan Muslim League of Nawaz is currently ruling this country. Current leader of this party is Shehbaz Sharif and he is the brother of former Prime Minister of Pakistan (Nawaz Sharif). Main opposition parties in these elections are the Pakistan Peoples Party and Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf. PPP is led by Bilawal Bhutto Zardari and PTI is lead by Imran Khan. Bilawal Bhutto Zardari is the son of late Benazir Bhutto and Imran Khan is a world famous Pakistani fast bowler.

As current government has completed their term and elections are scheduled by the Pakistan election commission for the formation of new government. All the parties are expecting the clear winner in these national assembly elections. Many pollsters have announced the Pakistan general election opinion polls almost a year ago. PPP and PTI are main opposition parties in this election and both are confident of their win in these national elections. Election campaigning is in full flow and people of Pakistan are silently watching all this marketing. They will decide the fate of candidates on 25 July 2018.

Pakistan General Elections 2018 Predictions

Opinion polls can give an idea of upcoming elections and also predict the winners, however, all depends on sample size. Most of the opinion polls are conducted on thousands of people and real elections are applied to million of people of the country. Pakistani opinion poll predictions are completely based on many if and but. Exact picture of 2018 Pakistan elections will be cleared after the declaration of Pakistan election results. We are covering all the major and reputed Pakistani opinion polls which are based on National assembly elections. SDPI/Herald, Gallup Pakistan, Pulse Consultant, and GSP are the main opinion polls covered in this article. We are keeping a close eye on these elections are will try to provide latest opinion polls on Pakistan general elections.

In the 2013 elections, PML-N is the main party and they managed to 32.77% vote share and win the elections in the majority. 172 seats are required for a majority out of 342 seats. Polling will be done on 272 seats of the Pakistan national assembly. The London based magazine The Economist has predicted the clear winner of PML (Nawaz) in these elections. According to them, the people of Pakistan will award another 5 year term to them. Now looks at all major opinion polls below.

SDPI Opinion Poll on 17 Jul 2014 and 27 Aug 2015

SDPI conducted two opinion polls in 2014 and 2015 to know the mood of the Pakistani voters after the completion of 2013 elections. This poll was conducted on a sample of 4368 voters and as per the poll, people are not happy with the current government. Imran Khan led Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf was the first choice of participants by 33% vote share. This survey was conducted three years ago and in the current situation is irrelevant. The detailed table can be found below.

DateAgencySample SizePML (N)PTIPPP
17 Jul 2014SDPI135417.00%33.00%19.00%
27 Aug 2015SDPI301427.00%33.00%14.00%
Gallup Pakistan Opinion Poll on 24 Apr 2017

Gallup Pakistan is a well-known research and survey organization located in Pakistan. They conducted a survey after the Panama paper leak to know the mood of the nation. The survey was conducted on 1400 people of Pakistan and Nawaz led the Pakistan Muslim League is ahead with 36% and 38% of vote share. This survey is more than 1 year old and it might be related to the current scenario.

DateAgencySample SizePML (N)PTIPPP
04/24/17Gallup Pakistan140036.00%25.00%16.00%
GSP Opinion Poll Prediction on 24 Oct 2017

GSP opinion survey was conducted in the month of October 2017 on 4540 people of the nation. As per this survey prediction, 38% voters are with PML-N. Whole survey can be seen below.

DateAgencySample SizePML (N)PTIPPP
24 October 2017GSP454038.00%27.00%17.00%
Pulse Consultant Opinion Poll - 25 October 2017

Pulse consultant also comes with an opinion poll on 25 October 2017. This survey was performed on 3243 voters and 36% voters are with PML(N).

DateAgencySample SizePML (N)PTIPPP
25 October 2017Pulse Consultant324336.00%23.00%15.00%
Gallup Pakistan Opinion Poll - November 2017, March and May 2018

In the time frame of last 7 months, Gallup Pakistan has conducted 3 opinion polls on 8000 people of Pakistan. All the polls are predicting the lead of PML in 2018 elections. On average, 36% voters are with a current ruling party and Imran Khan's party PTI is on the second spot with a good margin. Bilawal Bhutto Zardari's PPP party is in second spot with a vote share of around 15%. All the latest polls of Gallup Pakistan are shared below.

DateAgencySample SizePML (N)PTIPPP
May 2018Gallup Pakistan300038.00%25.00%15.00%
Mar 2018Gallup Pakistan200036.00%24.00%17.00%
01 Nov 2017Gallup Pakistan300034.00%26.00%15.00%

If we analyzed the opinion polls were performed in 2017 and 2018, PML is leading the July 2018 elections. In the 2013 elections, PML (N) was the winner after securing 32.77% vote share of Pakistani Awam. If they managed to clinch the votes which are predicted in many opinion polls, they are the clear winner.

Opinion polls are performed on a very small sample of voters as compared to the voters, which are going to take part in the elections. Therefore, opinions cannot be true every time. In the past, we have seen many instances in which opinion polls were failed miserably.

Last Updated On 22 July 2018